Risk of bird flu pandemic 'greater than claimed' - The Sunday Telegraph 19th August 2007

The Government has massively underestimated the risk of a bird flu pandemic sweeping across Britain, experts have warned. Contingency plans drawn up by the NHS are based on a 3 per cent chance in any given year that the virus will mutate into a form that infects humans. However, an international review at a summit of avian flu experts put the risk of a pandemic during the next year as between 5 and 20 per cent.

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